Although all the polls suggest that the Popular Party (PP) will win the most seats in this Sunday’s general election, but still need to work with other party to get right to form the government, their only choice is to share power with the far right part Vox, this indeed happened in Valencia local election last month.
Spanish Prime Minister and leader of the Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) Pedro Sanchez calling a snap general election after his party and alliance failed in the local elections has been seen as a huge gamble, but will this gamble pay off? All the analyses suggest that a victory for either side is a knife’s edge.
I have no time to delve into the Spanish electoral system and I should remind myself that I am actually more in favour of a left-wing government and really against the Vox party’s view of opposition to the EU, immigration and LGBTQ and women’s rights, and that I should be careful when judging the chart.
Country’s Chart and Transit
Here I’m using the 1975 chart, the return of the monarchy as the chart of modern Spain, it’s Ascendent is at 3 Aquarius and Pluto is around there, during the local elections in May Pluto was still in 0 Aquarius conjunct the Ascendent and opposite Saturn (chart ruler) representing the concern of the rise of the far right at this moment. This concern is also shown in the chart by the transiting nodal axis approaching the country Chiron in Aries and square transit Pluto, Chiron in Aries could represent the dark history of the Francoist dictatorship.
We should not ignore that transit Uranus conjunct the country’s node gives a very clear sign that people wanted to change, even if there is a risk.
On the evidence of this chart, I believe that Right Wine is likely to replace the current socialist government.
Aries Ingress chart on 21 March 2023
In the Aries ingress chart Spain has Scorpio Ascendant, a fixed sign generally suggesting the country will stay the same, Mars at 27 Gemini square Neptune and the Sun (L10), Mars also trines Saturn ( L4). People are not happy with the government ( L10 ) and favour the opposition party ( PP Vox ).
L10 The Sun in Aries in the 5th house has no friendly aspect and support from sextile Pluto, this could be explained by the fact that Sanchez hopes that the resistance of the Spanish people against fascism will help him to win re-election.
However, Saturn’s opposition in Pisces has no great dignity, but in the 4th house, it forms a sextile with Venus ( popularity ) and Mars ( L1 people ), explaining that PP is gaining power this year.
All in all it looks like the PP has more chance to win, but as a fixed sign in the ascendant does not suggest a major change of the year, will right wine plus far right earn enough seats to form the government? I am not 100% sure.
Cancer ingress chart on 21 June 2023
I usually use Cancer ingress chart to adjust the situation for the events happening in the summer, the Moon Venus in Leo conjunct the M.C, are usually suggest a female leader, the female leaders in this election are the leader of Sumar party and Junta, will they become the key factor of this election? Or the Moon Venus simply suggests that women’s politics is the key to winning elections, in which case it will not help the far right party Vox.
Mars also in the 10th house trine Chiron from the 6th house repeating the wounded history of the Francoist dictatorship may change the result of who will form the government.
Opening the Poll chart
The election will start from Sunday 9 am 23 July 2023, I will use Madrid for this election and 1st house will represent the current government party, 7th house will be the opponent the PP, also I will use 2nd house to represent left wing alliances like Sumar and 8th house to represent Vox as they are ally for PP.
Leo Ascendant and the Sun is the ruler of 1st house, although it is in its own sign but opposite Pluto and located in the 12th houses, this suggests Sanchez’s party are extremity weak, it form a sextile from the Moon in 2nd house, people (Moon) and his allies (Moon in 2nd) may want to give him a second chance.
Mercury rules the 2nd house as the alliance for the current government, although it has no essential dignity, but it is right on the Ascendant, it has the dynamism that the Sun needs, this may be the key to changing the whole situation.
Saturn in Pisces has no essential dignity, but in the 7th house it is more dynamic than the Sun, but it is just opposite Mars recently, suggesting a vulnerable situation. This also fits with the current poll that the PP party will become the largest party in parliament.
Jupiter rules the 8th house representing Vox the far right part it is closely conjunct the M.C and sextile Saturn the L7 and it is the dispositor of Saturn. Vox may gain the power to become part of the government if it works with PP and it will have powerful influence as it is the dispositor of L7.
After analysing both sides, we understand that it is not easy to judge who will become the government by L1 and L7, so we need to consider other factors. Here I will add L10 Venus and L4 Mars as in the traditional technique the 4th represents the end of matter.
Venus as L10, the symbol of victory, is stationary in the 1st house, usually it suggests that the current government is more likely to win the election, but this time it is not very clear because very soon Venus will be retrograde. This could suggest another possibility of re-election as no one has a majority, or maybe it will take a long time to know who is going to form the government.
Mars, the symbol of the end of matter, like Venus, in the 1st house gives the current government more chance to win, although Mars is opposite Saturn but this is a separate aspect, it’s next aspect is trine Jupiter the L8, but I’m not very convinced it will give glory to right wing parties as it is in the 1st house.
Conclusion
The transit on the country chart suggests a change of country, and as current poll suggests that PP will win, but Aries ingress suggests a year of stability and not going to change, also from opening poll chart there is chance that Sanchez will stay in power with help of his allies, if we consider L10 the victory and L4 the end of matter are both in 1st house.
I also have to admit that I have bias and more in favour of left wing, so even at this moment the poll suggests that PP will win and form a government with Vox. I still think there is a chance for left win parties or maybe they will have to run another election as Venus is retrograde in 1st house.